122.4 million Americans, including 1.1 million Oklahomans, are projected to leave town over Christmas, New Year’s travel period
OKLAHOMA CITY – Dec. 10, 2025 – AAA projects 122.4 million Americans will travel at least 50 miles from home over the 13-day year-end holiday period beginning December 20 and ending January 1. This year’s forecast is a 2.2% increase over 2024, surpassing last year’s record of 119.7 million travelers.
More than 1.1 million Oklahomans will be traveling during the holidays, up 0.7% from last year. Nearly 93% of them, or 1 million, will drive to their destinations. More than 49,000 Oklahomans will travel by air, while another nearly 33,000 will go on cruises or travel by train or bus.
“Year-end travel is a mix of family road trips, friend getaways, and tropical vacations” said Stacey Barber, Vice President of AAA Travel. “Holiday celebrations look different for everyone, but a common thread is the desire to travel, whether it’s returning to your hometown or exploring new destinations.”
Year-End Travelers by Mode of Transportation
By Car: AAA projects 109.5 million Americans will travel by car for their year-end trips, an increase of 2% compared to last year. Driving is the overwhelming favorite among all modes of transportation because of its convenience and low cost. This year, 89% of holiday travelers nationally will take road trips.
Gas prices are lower compared to last holiday season when the national average was $3.04 to end 2024. For the first time in 4 years, the national average dropped below $3 a gallon this month, and prices could continue dropping as 2025 comes to a close. According to AAA’s Fuel Prices tracker (https://gasprices.aaa.com/), as of December 10th, the average gas price in Oklahoma is $2.37 which is the lowest in the nation.
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TRAVEL MODE
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Percent of Travelers
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2025 Travelers
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Percent change vs. 2024
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Oklahoma TOTAL
Auto, Air & Other
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1,122,138
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0.7%
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|||
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Oklahoma Auto
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92.7% of people travel by car
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1,040,230
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0.5%
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Oklahoma Air
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4.4% travel by air
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49,145
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4.8%
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Oklahoma Other
(train, bus, cruise, etc.)
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2.9% travel by other modes
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32,763
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4.1%
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National TOTAL
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122.4 million
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2.2%
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|||
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National Auto
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89.4% of people travel by car
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109.5 million
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2.0%
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||
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National Air
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6.6% travel by air
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8.03 million
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2.3%
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||
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National Other
(train, bus, cruise, etc.)
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4.0% travel by other modes
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4.9 million
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9.1%
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*U.S. Census Bureau (v2024)/MMGY Global
With a record number of car travelers, AAA urges drivers to prioritize safety. December is National Impaired Driving Prevention Month which serves as a timely reminder to make safe choices and stay vigilant. AAA and MADD encourage holiday travelers to plan safe rides home this holiday season during one of the most dangerous times of year on the road.
During 2024’s year-end holiday period, AAA responded to more than 860,000 emergency roadside assistance calls to help stranded drivers with issues like dead batteries, flat tires, and empty fuel tanks. When AAA responds to those roadside emergencies, it’s incumbent upon all of us to keep everyone safe. Slow Down, Move Over means when you see stopped vehicles on the side of the road, reduce your speed and change lanes. That gives tow truck technicians, law enforcement officials, and other individuals room to complete their work safely.
By Air:AAA projects a record 8.03 million travelers taking domestic flights this holiday season, a 2.3% increase compared to last year. This will be the first time on record that the number of domestic air travelers over the year-end holiday period exceeds 8 million.
The days leading up to Christmas Day are the most expensive, while flying on the holiday itself is cheaper. New Year’s flights are also pricey with many people returning home on New Year’s Day or even squeezing one extra weekend out of the holiday season and coming back on Sunday, January 4.
By Other Modes: Travel by other modes is expected to go up by 9% with 4.9 million people traveling by bus, train, or cruise. This category has seen a 25% increase since 2019, mainly due to the record-setting demand for cruises post-pandemic.
Year-End Holiday Travel Costs
According to AAA data, which is based on what travelers paid when they booked their holiday trips:
Domestic
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Domestic flights are 7% more expensive this holiday period compared to last year.
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The days leading up to Christmas Day are the most expensive, while flying on the holiday itself is cheaper. New Year’s flights are also pricey with many people returning home on New Year’s Day or even squeezing one extra weekend out of the holiday season and coming back on Sunday, January 4.
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Domestic hotels are 13% more expensive this holiday period compared to last year.
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Domestic car rentals are 1% more expensive this holiday period compared to last year.
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Cruises departing from domestic cities are 14% cheaper this holiday period.
International
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International flights are 14% cheaper this holiday period compared to last year.
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International hotels are 12% more expensive this holiday period compared to last year.
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International car rentals are 12% cheaper this holiday period compared to last year.
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Cruises departing from international cities are 24% cheaper this holiday period.
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Tours in international cities are 10% cheaper this holiday period.
AAA’s Year-End Top Destinations
The top holiday destinations listed below are based on AAA booking data for the year-end travel period. Warm destinations dominate the domestic side with travelers heading to Florida, Southern California, and Hawaii. Caribbean destinations and resort towns in Mexico are also popular to celebrate the year-end holidays and ring in 2026.
Best/Worst Times to Drive
INRIX, a provider of transportation data and insights, expects Christmas week to be busier on the roads than New Year’s week, but both weeks will see days of increased traffic. Interstates will be extra congested the weekend before Christmas, as travelers hit the road on Saturday and Sunday (Dec. 20-21) ahead of the holiday. Friday, December 26 is also expected to be busy as travelers make moves post-Christmas Day. Because the year-end holiday travel period spans a longer time frame, travelers have more options for departures and returns. The holidays themselves – Christmas and New Year’s Day – are typically the lightest traffic-wise, but remember, crashes or severe weather could create unexpected delays.
Year-End Holiday Travel Period
AAA’s year-end holiday travel period always includes two weekends. This year, that travel window is defined as the thirteen-day period from Saturday, December 20 to Thursday, January 1.
Holiday Travel Forecast Methodology
In cooperation with AAA, S&P Global Market Intelligence (SPGMI) developed a unique methodology to forecast actual domestic travel volumes. The economic variables used to forecast travel for the current holiday are leveraged from SPGMI’s proprietary databases. These data include macroeconomic drivers such as employment, output, household net worth, asset prices including stock indices, interest rates, housing market indicators, and variables related to travel and tourism, including gasoline prices, airline travel, and hotel stays. AAA and SPGMI have quantified holiday travel volumes going back to 2000.
Historical travel volume estimates come from MMGY’s TRAVEL PERFORMANCE/MonitorSM. The PERFORMANCE/MonitorSM is a comprehensive study measuring the travel behavior of U.S. residents. MMGY contacts over 50,000 U.S. households each month to obtain detailed travel data, resulting in the unique ability to estimate visitor volume and spending, identify trends, and forecast U.S. travel behavior, all after the trips have been taken.
The travel forecast is reported in person-trips. In particular, AAA and SPGMI forecast the total U.S. holiday travel volume and expected mode of transportation. The travel forecast presented in this report was finalized the week of November 17, 2025.
Because AAA holiday forecasts focus on domestic leisure travel only, comparisons to TSA passenger screening numbers should not be made. TSA data includes all passengers traveling on both domestic and international routes, whether traveling for work or leisure. Additionally, TSA screens passengers each time they enter secured areas of the airport, therefore each one-way trip is counted as a passenger tally. AAA focuses on person-trips, which include the full round-trip travel itinerary. As a result, direct comparisons of AAA forecast volumes and daily TSA screenings represent different factors.
About AAA
AAA provides automotive, travel, and insurance services to more than 65.2 million members nationwide and more than 450,000 members in Oklahoma. AAA advocates for the safety and mobility of its members and has been committed to outstanding road service for more than 100 years. AAA is a non-stock, membership corporation working on behalf of motorists, who can map a route, find local gas prices and electric vehicle charging stations, discover discounts, book a hotel, and track their roadside assistance service with the AAA Mobile app (AAA.com/mobile) for iPhone, iPad and Android. For more information on joining or renewing a Membership, visit www.AAA.com.
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